national death toll rises and more 50,000 vehicles intercepted on the Gold Coast at the border

“If the ratio of people who are sick versus the number of people who have recovered from the disease is going up it means more people are getting sick than are recovering from the disease, and if it’s going down it’s the opposite,” he says.

“When we plotted that for different countries, what shocked us was that [the curve of deaths] is basically the same everywhere – it goes up for a few weeks, peaks and then goes down.

“It doesn’t matter if it’s a poor country, a wealthy country, Western, Asian, a place where the wave hit early, or late, these curves are happening at different times, but it’s the same pattern.”